Whorl the city after 1901 agreement what course to follow?

  • Dec, 04th 2018

Core viewpoint

. Enter after October, the fourth quarter is not demand busy season, do not have very good improvement plus main area, policy face, so of merchandise on hand dropping is very normal. To futures, 1901 agreement its fluctuant space 300- - 500. The spec trades should be far from 1901 agreement, much attention 1905 with 1910 agreement.

. Heat coils this breed, very weak. His downstream demand is very poor, main area is not particularly good. I think to drop broken 3800 not good-looking, become a useful person board piece be to be able to abandon 1901 agreement.

. To option market, place must know for business of merchandise on hand valence trades, base risk of merchandise on hand of poor trade, avoid.

Detailed content

A large amount of inside ginseng: Above all the basic case that we consider to understand you to grind in transfer to other localities recently?

Jiao Haitao: Business of near future busy company, fail to take out time to go detailed survey. Ever wrote to be aimed at in July behind the literary works that prices of a few months develops, can review one bottom minute a little bit and the time of corresponding month is periodic. (on July 1, 2018 public date article: " 2018 whorl term point of view " 1810 agreement dish face October is healthy September August up; ) the sale busy season that the market is inside the time cycle because of these 3 months, according to the adjusting control with macroscopical country, the strength of environmental protection, its rose to be become inevitable.

As annual the arrival of the fourth quarter, do not have demand busy season prop up, the price is to carry brace up do not rise. This moment, anticipate what had hit the price is inferior, base difference is bigger, do temporarily make the way that did not make clear for nothing more, suggest to abandon so, much nominal has the intention that abandon, do not continue to waste time on 1901 agreement. Myself now is to do not have a storehouse, in this 4206 many when the price empty boundary upper part stands flabby, whorl is decisive smooth storehouse.

From recently dish of face of 9 years in light of, it and before is different. What mirror instead previously is market of a capital, and recently is policy market, so governmental adjusting control also is have in the market participate in certainly spend. Annual bottom is in on move, this can consult historical data goes comparing right. Now the inventory photograph of whorl merchandise on hand relatively the year before last year also was in last year low. These days expression can see social stock is to decreasing, and the inventory of steelworks has certain addition. The adjusting control on national policy, the individual thinks to won't the prices that drops to go up greatly greatly appears. After that city can pay close attention to this 3800 col, this col is very important, closer and closer also from month of complete a business transaction, plus the time cycle that afore-mentioned saying, november is periodic sky. Accordingly also more recommend everybody to pay close attention to forward contract, for instance 1905 with 1910 agreement, 1905 agreement return make an issue of of the city after time and space can be in. Will see value of 1901 possible complete a business transaction at present also should be in 4000-4206 this interval, the position of 3800 wants to continue to be hit continuously pressure go down not quite actual.

Research futures, want to score gain in option market, cannot onefold see technical face only, face of main area policy also needs observation. The space that says current thinking firm adjusting control for example is the space that 300-500 nods, the 1901 agreement that the face says before place special kink is very awkward. Before resembling, I had March had written 1810 contract, think to be able to be amounted to 4560, and in complete a business transaction when arrived at 4800-4900 this phase. Its anticipation is those who rise is to cannot be changed, but dish of face at that time and dish of present area are same, very random, a lot of people go looking empty. But futures is important is to see a result, and the process among needs us to go avoid risk. Undeniable of course intermediate process dispute often does hard, but general orientation was not changed.

A large amount of inside ginseng: So opposite coil at heat, are you also to follow whorl to hold same point of view to it?

Jiao Haitao: Heat coils this breed, I think to drop broken 3800 not good-looking, very weak. His downstream demand is very poor, main area is not particularly good. Become a useful person board piece be to be able to abandon 1901 agreement, but my individual or this one proposal make raw material in a few days, it is better that short line trades. According to the prices of the market, do trade inside the day that accord with, do not become big periodic operation as far as possible.

A large amount of inside ginseng: So what proposal do you have to the business of merchandise on hand henceforth?

Jiao Haitao: Now business of merchandise on hand most the between new-style market pattern collision after the trade pattern that of kink is a tradition and option market development rise. To business of merchandise on hand I suggest that I must understand futures, if or else goes knowing option market, place,because of business of merchandise on hand valence trades, base the word of the content such as risk of merchandise on hand of poor trade, avoid, living very hard below prospective trade pattern. I think pattern of every every every breed, industry, trade is being updated ceaselessly, so need enrichs him ceaselessly, ability makes his industry better bigger stronger.

Afore-mentioned it is I am opposite roughly at present the viewpoint of the market. To dish for the face, 1901 agreement its fluctuant space 300- - 500. The spec trades should be far from 1901 agreement, let go to industrial clients fight closely, go awaiting better opportunity, much attention 1905 with 1910 agreement. The fourth quarter is not demand busy season, do not have very good improvement plus main area, policy face, so of merchandise on hand dropping is very normal. Anyhow, market of rational and objective look upon, supply decides bottom, demand decides height. .