Fall south material of steel city north quicken this Zhou Ch

  • Dec, 04th 2018

Conclusion: Rolled steel is produced can utilization rate annulus rises than small, supply increases; Coal of raw material iron ore is anxious etc rise manufacturing cost house does not fall high, rolled steel market arrives cost on the high side;

Qiu Dong season is restricted to produce reach strong anticipate, and inventory is maintained low, have to merchandise on hand prop up; Weather turns cold, downstream demand is durative remain test and verify. Accordingly, predict this week steel city shows narrow cut to slant weak concussion moves situation.

(one) building steel products

Review last week

1, the value changes

Home builds concussion of narrow cut of whole of rolled steel price to move last week, go up between area drop each other shows. In light of particular value, end on November 2, HRB400 of 24 cities of countrywide average price is steel of whorl of norms of material qualitative 20mm 4722 yuan / ton, relatively rose on November 26 2 yuan / ton; HPB300 of 24 main cities of countrywide average price is tall line of norms of material qualitative 8mm 4870 yuan / ton, relatively dropped on October 26 9 yuan / ton.

2, main area changes

This week viewpoint

Although building materials crop still picks up small last week, but the near future begins more to carry out wrong peak of Qiu Dong season to produce, later period whole furnishs or have small downtrend; Periodic snail drops on, period present price difference expands once more, but fall in current small stock and the contradiction that exceed big agio, continue the difficulty of next defeat may be greater; At present the market arrives cost as before on the high side, overlay scores gain season of meeting, Qiu Dong is restricted to produce, market stock is maintained low, spot price still has prop up certainly.

But northward weather will turn cold, at the same time next processes austral boreal material are quickened, later period demand is durative remain test and verify. Will integratedly look, predict this week home builds rolled steel value or narrow cut concussion moves, the become divided between area still more apparent, partial area weak potential is adjusted give priority to.

(2) in thick board

Review last week

1, the value changes

End last week 5, from the whole nation average price comes to 23 cities look, 8mm general board the price is 4645 yuan / ton, with photograph comparing dropped on October 26 42 yuan / ton; 20mm general board average price is 4337 yuan / ton, with photograph comparing dropped on October 26 36 yuan / ton; 20mm is low average price is alloy board 4515 yuan / ton, with photograph comparing dropped on October 26 34 yuan / ton. Valence differs a respect: This period the whole nation all valence continues to drop. Main city Shanghai, Guangzhou, Tianjin parts relatively on period drop 0.92% , 1.13% , 0.24% .

2, main area changes

This week viewpoint

Market price case drops last week increase, supply end to continue bear press systole, reserve is total the trend continues to be down, short-term attention drop basically is as follows: The first, although steelworks inventory continues to present move but social stock falls a speed is apparent accelerate, inventory carries integral pressure to continue abate; The 2nd, in thick board - heat up a price to differ from 135 yuan / ton expand into 181 yuan / ton, inside the plank department breed of relatively weak force in thick board have take the lead in the sign with sure look forward to; The 3rd, look forward to of steelworks level price is firm, price look forward to is carried on firm urged current end the likelihood with price firm look forward to; The 4th, supply a face to continue to present contractive evidence, resource level pressure is reduced.

Short-term predicting value is put in firm possibility of progressively look forward to.

(3) useless steel

Review last week

1, the value changes

Domestic general carbon abandons steel market to continue to rise last week, most area goes up 20-80 yuan / ton, businessman cherish makes work, clinch a deal general. Up to index of price of useless steel of 26 days of 5 Mysteel is last week 2619.2, relatively before a week is added 13.1, annulus comparing goes up 0.5% , go up put delay.

Mainstream city abandons steel all valence does not contain tax 2415, go up 27 yuan / ton, become a useful person the price is fatigued and weak, profit of steel look forward to decreases, partial steel look forward to follows steel price reduces useless steel to purchase the value.

2, main area changes

This week viewpoint:

Become a useful person last week the price begins to appear fatigued and weak, bring about partial steelworks useless steel is pressed to purchase the value below take advantage of an opportunity. Filling library of steel look forward to is not at present good, inventory continues small fall, but number of day of have enough to meet need is small add, explain partial steel look forward to abandons steel wastage to begin to decrease. Steelworks can adjust useless steel to purchase the value according to steel price case, face the end of the year to have library demand abandons steel to fall greatly possibility is not large. Especially northward steelworks environmental protection is restricted to produce carry out, still have increase purchase intent, the excellent price that abandon steel is relatively strong. But this round of high price may be accused at paragraph!

Short-term small dish whole give priority to! Market state of mind somewhat panicky, trafficker choice is wait-and-see, predict this week abandons steel market main trend to hold firm, drop individually.

(4) billet

Review last week

1, the value changes

Billet whole price rises last week fall each other shows, tang Shan area presents clearer weak sign to run state, fall inside week apparent.

End on November 2, tang Shan this locality and mainstream of square unburnt brick of prosperous goosefoot general leave factory 3900 yuan / ton cash contains tax, relatively last week 5 fall 100 yuan / ton.

2, main area circumstance

This week viewpoint

Concussion of Tang Shan billet goes low last week, although billet oneself clinchs a deal passable, but material of downstream finished product carries be enslaved to be enslaved to those who clinch a deal is abate, billet price appears eventually fall after a rise goes situation. Autumn winter wrong peak is restricted to produce have not carry out formally, blast furnace is produced can utilization rate rises small continuously, billet supply and demand appears adjust posture, the near future suffers look forward to of steel of whole technological process line of downstream make friends overhauls an influence, billet supply presents growth state, measure in view of export of billet collect harbor nevertheless still relatively apparent, stock of merchandise on hand falls continuously, downstream rolling mill promotes somewhat to the wastage of billet, contradiction of billet supply and demand is not outstanding.

Nevertheless period steel behaves weak force at present, spot market operation is even more careful, businessman state of mind is much emptier, predict this week billet still has from this drop likelihood.