"3 even shade + get for two times drop " is coke latter h

  • Dec, 04th 2018

3 trade recently day, coke drops continuously, 26, 27 days drop it is be among the best of candidates more. Pressure of domestic economy be issued to lower levels still is put, coke crop is added fast pick up reach inventory to increase pair of coke period price to form bigger suppress, but it is certain that crop amplitude maintains domestic crude steel to maintain smooth posture to be formed to coke price again in market of higher level and estate prop up, predict the last ten-day of a month came in November coke period price will be in in December 1900, 2200 yuan / ton maintain interval oscillation to go situation, oscillation centre of gravity relatively go up month to move.

Economy is put in pressure of be issued to lower levels

Chinese manufacturing industry purchased manager index in October (PMI) for 50.2% , relatively go up lunar fall after a rise 0.6 percent, successive 27 months prep above is bit more critical, posture of overall continuance dilate, but achieve since July 2016 new low. External demand change and new export order drop right medium or small manufacturing industry enterprise produces immediate effect, this was October the main reason of occurrence fall after a rise of manufacturing industry PMI. Data shows economy is put in pressure of constant be issued to lower levels.

Coke supplies a state

Coke crop is added fast pick up, export increases apparent: October countrywide coke crop relatively increase 50 thousand tons small in September, reach 36.6 million tons, increase fast promotion compared to the same period 4.6 percent, by on of the month - 0.10% pick up to 4.50% , by negative become a full member, pick up apparent. Volume of export of our country coke was reached in October add fast pick up apparent, coke spoke a volume in October relatively on the month increases 307 thousand tons, it is 838 thousand tons, add compared to the same period fast by on of the month 12.98% pick up to 146.47% .

Inventory circumstance: Up to on November 23, inventory of Tianjin harbor coke is 520 thousand tons, inventory of the harbor that connect the cloud is 85 thousand tons, sunshine harbor inventory is 980 thousand tons. Total reserve of 3 big haven is 1.585 million tons, relatively 1.452 million tons by October increase 133 thousand tons, small pick up.

Downstream demand situation

Crop of domestic crude steel adds fast maintain pick up trend: Crop of our country crude steel was 82.55 million tons in October, add compared to the same period fast pick up 1.6 percent, by on of the month 7.5% pick up to 9.10% , continue small pick up. 1, crude steel crop was seven hundred and eighty-two million four hundred and sixty thousand tons in October, grow 6.40% compared to the same period, relatively 1, 6.10% small of September rise 0.3 percent. Look on the whole, crude steel crop is added fast maintain pick up trend.

Real-estate industry keeps smooth current: Index of estate development boom was in October 101.94, relatively in September fall after a rise 0.05 bits, successive 32 months look forward to is firm at 100 vicissitude boundary. 1, countrywide estate development invested nine thousand nine hundred and thirty-two billion five hundred million yuan in October, grow 9.7% compared to the same period, add fast relatively 1, September fall after a rise 0.2 percent. 1, estate developed area of company building construction in October seven billion eight hundred and forty-four million two hundred and fifty thousand square metre, grow 4.3% compared to the same period, increasing ratio 1, increased 0.4 percent in September. Area of building new go into operation one billion six hundred and eighty-seven million five hundred and forty thousand square metre, grow 16.3% , increase fast fall after a rise 0.1 percent. 1, commodity house sold an area in October one billion three hundred and thirty-one million one hundred and seventy thousand square metre, grow 2.2% compared to the same period, increasing ratio 1, in September fall after a rise 0.7 percent. In October end, area of commodity house for sale five hundred and twenty-seven million eight hundred and ninety thousand square metre, relatively end reduced 4.01 million square metre in September. Data shows, real-estate industry keeps smooth current.

The graph is coke haven inventory

City is looked into after

Predict the last ten-day of a month came in November coke period price will be in in December 1900, 2200 yuan / ton maintain interval oscillation to go situation, move below oscillation interval. On the operation, proposal oscillation interval is cast high low receive, short line is operated.